Ol-Kalou By-Election Polls: Sammy Kamau Waweru and DCP Take a Commanding Lead in New Demographics Survey
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| DCP &UDA POLITICAL PARTIES LOGO'S /Facebook |
The numbers reveal an overwhelming lead for Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP) candidate Sammy Kamau Waweru, who is currently outstripping his closest rival by a massive 46 percentage points.Swiss Poll
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| DCP PARTY OL KALOU CANDIDATE SAMMY NGOTHO & RIGATHI GACHAGUA |
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| UDA PARTY OL KALOU CANDIDATE MUCHINA NYAGAH & WILLIAM RUTO |
The Survey Methodology and Key Demographics
To guarantee a scientifically sound representation of the local electorate, the telephonic survey engaged 2,650 registered voters across Ol-Kalou Constituency. The poll boasts a 95% confidence level with a margin of error of \pm 3\%.
A deep dive into the respondent allocation across the various wards demonstrates a highly balanced and objective approach to data collection.
1. Ward-by-Ward Sample Distribution
The sample size was distributed proportional to voter density across the six key administrative wards of the constituency:
Karau Ward: 560 respondents
Mirangine Ward: 550 respondents
Kaimbaga Ward: 450 respondents
Ngorika Ward: 400 respondents
Kanjuire Ridge Ward: 350 respondents
Rurii Ward: 340 respondents
2. Gender and Age Dynamics: The Power of the Youth Vote
The survey successfully captured a near-even gender split, ensuring the unique political perspectives of both men and women were accounted for:
Male (M): 1,380 participants
Female (F): 1,270 participants
The age breakdown contains perhaps the most significant revelation for political strategists in Nyandarua. The youth population is firmly in the driver's seat for this election cycle.
18–35 Years: 36% (The largest single voting bloc)
35–45 Years: 29%
44–55 Years: 24%
55+ Years: 11%
With 65% of the total surveyed electorate falling under the age of 45, any candidate hoping to secure the seat must directly address youth unemployment, local economic empowerment, and agricultural development.
Visualizing the Numbers: Swiss Poll International Data
The following official graphics released by Swiss Poll International illustrate the decisive gaps opening up in both individual candidate support and overall political party popularity within the constituency.
Candidate Rankings: Sammy Kamau Waweru Crushes the Competition
When voters were asked: "If the Ol-Kalou Constituency election were held today, which candidate would you be most likely to vote for as your Member of Parliament?" the response was clear.
Source :Swiss Poll